A wise man once said that the markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent. It certainly feels like that after the risk-off/risk-on tug-of-war over the last two weeks. Just as our global indicators suggested a pause in the rally last week, improvements in macro data now suggest investors should position for an economic upturn.
Investor cash levels rose to 4.7%, triggering a contrarian equity "buy" signal. But the April Fund Manager Survey reveals cautious investor sentiment rather than the unambiguous fear that often creates big buying opportunities.